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Glomac Eventually Shines…

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Just follow up from my last posting. You can read it from I Sold Glomac to Make Way for Suncity-W. Although I no longer have Glomac, I am very proud of the company. It eventually shines and better still it broke the resistance level at RM1.85 which I mentioned in previous suggested. At this level, I would suggest investor to increase the stop loss from RM1.65 to RM1.85. I have confident this stop will run up to RM1.95, then market will start to take profit, so if you ask me, I think the resistance will be at RM1.95. Don’t be too greedy, increase your stop loss and lock in your profit.

As I have suggested, the company will achieve RM64 million profit for the full year, representing EPS (diluted) of RM0.2025. The company reported RM63million instead, representing EPS of RM0.1945, where my net profit target deviated 1.5% compare to the real result. The company continue to give surprises by announcing another RM0.05 dividend for the quarter. For the full year, the company has given out RM0.095 as a dividend to the shareholders, representing 5.43% gross dividend yield. Not too bad, really… Not to mentioned, there will be a share split and this will improve liquidity of the share. Everything is going well with Glomac. This is a good long term stock.

Still, I suggest investor to be cautious and pay attention to short term reversal trend and lock your profit with stop loss at RM1.85.

Written by labursaham

June 24, 2011 at 11:18 am

Posted in Closely Related

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Glomac Share Goes Ex Dividend Today…

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One of the highest keywords that was directed to my blog from search engine is, “Glomac share cannot go up” and “Glomac share price drop”.

Well, if you are one of them. Let me say welcome and also do not panic. There is nothing wrong with Glomac share. The share just went ex dividend today, where the share price is adjusted down based on the same value of the dividend given out by the company which is RM0.045. Glomac share was close at RM1.73 yesterday and when it was open today, it was re-price to RM1.68. So it is normal…I like Glomac, they just need to deliver the numbers then the share price will deliver.

Here is one of many articles about Glomac which I think is the best representation of the company’s medium term goal. Have a read…

Glomac offers good growth and dividends

By Siow Chen Ming
Thursday, 14 October 2010 17:34

KUALA LUMPUR: Investors can expect good growth coupled with decent dividends in the next few years from Glomac Bhd, according to its group managing director and CEO Datuk FD Iskandar Mohd Mansor. This is a rare proposition among local listed property developers.

“I think among the property stocks, we are one of the highest in terms of dividend payout. We don’t have a specific dividend policy. But we paid out seven sen last year (FY09 ended April 30), 8.5 sen this year (FY10), and for the next financial year we should be able to pay at least 8.5 sen, if not better,” said FD Iskandar in a recent interview with The Edge Financial Daily.

The dividend per share (DPS) of seven sen translated into a payout ratio of 61.4% for FY09 and DPS of 8.5 sen was about 60% of net profit in FY10.

Should Glomac at least maintain its dividend in FY11, gross dividend yield would be 5.2% or more, based on its closing price of RM1.63 yesterday. But this is not the first time that the group has been generous; its healthy balance sheet allows it to reward shareholders with generous dividends and it has been doing so for the last 10 years.

On top of that, FD Iskandar said the group had projects lined up that were expected to generate stronger cash flow in the next few years.

Note that as at July 31, 2010 (1QFY11), the group’s unbilled sales of properties stood at RM585 million, which is a record high. It also has RM3 billion worth of projects in the pipeline to maintain the growth momentum over the next five years.

“If we were to launch RM600 million worth of projects a year, in the next five years we will be in good stead,” he added.

FD Iskandar is a substantial shareholder of Glomac with a 14.3% equity stake. His father Tan Sri Mohd Mansor Fateh Din is the single largest shareholder with a 25.5% stake while Datuk Richard Fong owns 17.5%.

With a relatively smaller capital base compared with its larger peers in the industry, Glomac relies on a “fast turnaround” business model to generate revenue growth.

Its “fast turnaround” model is similar to the strategy of Mah Sing Group Bhd, which has been growing rapidly over the last five years. Nonetheless, analysts opined that Mah Sing has reached the stage where it is increasingly challenging for it to sustain the high growth rates.

In comparison, Glomac’s FY09 revenue of RM345.3 million (the peak over the last five years) is what Mah Sing made five years ago.

“If you look at our recent (land) acquisition… we bought 7.6 acres in the corners of Bandar Utama and Damansara Utama, to us this is a fast-turnaround project, with total GDV of RM400 million. Even the seven acres we just bought in Cyberjaya, with total GDV of about RM250 million, we hope it would be a fast-turnaround project,” said FD Iskandar.

In terms of new projects beyond FY11 (FY ends March), Glomac has the Glomac Damansara project with an estimated GDV of RM208 million, Al Batha Mutiara project (targeted GDV of RM230 million), Plaza Kelana Jaya Phase 4 (RM280 million), Glomac Utama (RM400 million) and others.

FD Iskandar said Glomac was not focusing on township development due to its relatively small paid-up capital of less than RM300 million and shareholders’ funds of RM608.2 million.

“We are not focusing on township, unless it is somewhere closer or adjacent to the township we have in Sungai Buloh called Bandar Saujana Utama,” he noted, adding that the group was keen to participate in the development of the over-3,000-acre plot in Sungai Buloh currently owned by the Rubber Research Institute of Malaysia (RRIM).

It was reported that the development of the RRIM land will be undertaken by a joint venture between the federal government and the Employees Provident Fund, with Malaysian Resources Corp Bhd likely to be appointed a master developer.

“We are not big enough, in terms of paid-up and shareholders funds (to go big into township development). If you want to buy 1,000 acres, even at RM250,000 per acre, that is RM250 million. Now we are doing 11 projects, we got four or five more coming, so when all projects kick in at one go we have 15-16 projects, definitely we need more capital,” said FD Iskandar.

Having a gearing ratio of 0.12 times, Glomac can afford to raise its borrowing if it needs to do so.

According to FD Iskandar, Glomac is in fact in a net cash position — the first time in the group’s 22-year history.

“Even though we say we have a net gearing of 0.12 times, we also have cash in three-month papers, but auditors say we cannot put that as cash in the bank, so they categorise that as something else,” he explained.

“But if we were to take the RM70 million to RM80 million as cash, then we are in net cash position. So obviously, why be a public listed company if we don’t gear?” he added.

Commenting on the industry trend, FD Iskandar dispelled the notion of a property bubble in Malaysia.

He said property prices had only gone up sharply and unrealistically in certain projects in some hot spots. In general, he believes there is still good demand provided that developers like Glomac can offer products that offer good value to buyers.

This article appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, October 14, 2010.

Written by labursaham

June 9, 2011 at 8:02 am